4. The tax over the value added

VAT collection increased by 14.5% in 2021, reaching 72,498 million, and was 1.3% above what was received in 2019.

The improvement in subject spending was reflected in the positive evolution of gross VAT, which grew by 11.9% ( Table 4.2 ), exceeding the amount reached in 2019 by 1.4%. Logically, much of the evolution of gross income is strongly conditioned by the trajectory of 2020. Thus, the year began with growth of 3.2%, followed by a strong rebound in the second quarter, in response to the months of strict confinement in 2020, but even with this intense growth, by mid-year there had still not been reached the income level of two years earlier. In the second half, the growth of gross income accelerated, which allowed us to close the year with income almost 5,000 million higher than in 2019. Part of this rebound had to do with the rise in prices that occurred in that period, especially in the last months of the year (Graph 4.1), although it should be noted that the reduction in the rate in domestic electricity consumption, which reduced more than 500 million in collection, partially canceled the price increase. Added to the growth in gross income was the low increase in returns made, which grew by 6%. It is worth remembering that a large part of the refunds paid in 2021 (around 55%) are not related to what happened in the year, since they correspond to refunds requested in other years or to regional adjustments. These returns increased by 7.1%. Furthermore, the effect of rising prices in the final part of the year, and the consequent increase in costs that resulted in a rapid increase in refund requests in that period, was largely carried over to 2022, which is when The last accruals for 2021 were presented.

Graph 4.1. Variation rates in % of subject final expenditure in current terms, in constant terms and the deflator.

final expenditure subject to VAT increased by 19.3%, in line with the general improvement in the economic context. After the abrupt rebound in the second quarter, a response to the contraction suffered in the same period of 2020, it registered a notable acceleration in the second half of the year, part of which was due to the aforementioned price increase (3.3% annually, Table 4.1 and Graph 4.1).

Household consumption spending was the component that experienced the most intense recovery (21.8%), after having been the most affected by the pandemic. The usual synchrony between the evolution of the gross income of households and their consumption spending was broken last year as a result of confinement and other limitations that intensely affected this component. In 2021, the differential between the two widened even further, so that while the gross income of households grew by 5.9%, their consumption spending rose to 21.8% (17.7% without the effect of the increase of prices). If the comparison is made with respect to 2019 levels, this differential narrows: Gross household income grew by 5.5% while spending grew by 1.2% (Graph 4.2). However, the recovery in household consumption spending was not enough for it to regain its weight over total subject spending, leaving it still more than one and a half points below the average observed in the previous four years (Graph 4.3). . Spending on new housing also experienced an intense rebound (16.4%, 11.2% if compared to 2019), in line with the recovery of new housing transmissions. Finally, the expenditure of the AA.PP. maintained the upward trend, with a growth of 7.1%, as it continued to be conditioned by the greater disbursement associated with facing the effects of the pandemic.

Graph 4.2. Variation rates in % of household gross income and household consumption expenditure.

Graph 4.3. Contributions to the growth of final expenditure subject to VAT, of its components: households, public administrations and housing.

The effective rate of VAT remained practically unchanged for another year (-0.1%, Table 4.1 and Chart 4.5 ). In 2021, there were several regulatory changes that affected the rate: the increase in the VAT rate on sugary and sweetened beverages, the reduction in the VAT rate on electricity and surgical masks, the maintenance of type 0 on essential health supplies to combat COVID 19 and the extension to vaccines and PCR. All these measures had an impact valued at a loss of 186 million ( Table 1.5 ), which was not enough to significantly influence the evolution of the average rate.

What has been clearly affected by the pandemic has been the type composition of subject final expenditure, as analyzed in Table 8.7 . Thus, while in the period 2014 to 2019 the weight of general rate expenditure on the total subject final expenditure remained around 57%, in 2020 this weight increased to 58.7%, while the weight of spending at a reduced rate (associated, among others, with the sectors most affected by confinement measures and other limitations), was reduced by three points, going from representing around 34.3% of the subject's total to representing 31.3% ( Graph 4.4). It is expected that this situation will have been partially reversed throughout fiscal year 2021 (information available at the end of 2022).

Graph 4.4. Weights in % of the final expense subject to the expense based on VAT tax rates.

Graph 4.5 (40 KB - pdf )

Given the practical stability of the effective rate, the VAT accrued in the period increased by 19.2%. The net VAT accrued (which differs from the previous one because it includes the variation in the balance that companies leave to compensate from one year to the next) grew a little less, 19%, 3% compared to 2019.

Gross VAT accrued increased by 17.8%, 5% compared to 2019 ( Table 4.2 ). In the same way that its deceleration in 2020 was somewhat less abrupt than that recorded by the net accrued VAT, the recovery in 2021 was also somewhat smaller, reducing the gross VAT / net accrued VAT ratio, although this ratio does not reach the environment of those observed from 2015 (the year in which Customs VAT began to be settled through self-assessments) until the start of the pandemic (Graph 4.6).

Graph 4.6. Ratio of net accrued tax to gross accrued VAT and refund requests.

The acceleration of gross accrued VAT was more intense in the quarterly declarations (18.6%), which are those that have a greater connection with the activities that were hardest hit by the drop in activity and consumption in 2020. For their part, monthly declarations, which group together Large Companies, groups and other operators covered by the monthly refund regime, together with import VAT, increased by 17.3%.

Gross income increased by 11.9%, almost six points less than the gross VAT accrued (17.8%), and this despite the fact that the part of this VAT that is declared to be paid grew even more (19.4 %, Table 4.2 ), favored by the improvement in the economic situation that reduced the amount of requests for deferral and inability to pay. There are two reasons that explain this lower increase in cash income. On the one hand, the mechanics of the tax itself, which means that practically all of the income for the first quarter of 2021 corresponds to accruals from the end of 2020, affected by limitations on mobility and other restrictions. Thus, the entry of the quarterly declarations corresponding to the accrual of the last quarter of 2020 is shifted to the first quarter of 2021, to which is added that, since the entry into force of the SII, most of the monthly declarations shift their two periods. cash receipt. In the same way, most of the income associated with VAT accrued in the last quarter of 2021 (which registered a notable acceleration in line with the already mentioned evolution of subject spending in real terms and prices) has shifted to the first quarter of 2022. Graph 4.7 shows this gap between the accrual to be entered (not including postponement requests) and the accounting of its cash income, which explains why the former registered an annual increase of 19.4%, compared to 13.6%. of income ( Table 4.2 ; Chart data can be downloaded at this link ).

Graph 4.7. Variation rates in % of accrued gross VAT entered and gross VAT for income from self-assessments and Customs.

The second cause of the lower growth in gross income is the drop in collection associated with the lower requested deferrals (-10.9%; rest of income from Table 4.2 ). It must be taken into account that last year this concept had a very high level due to the payment deferral measures that were taken in the early moments of the pandemic. In 2021, the amount registered is of the same order as that observed before 2020.

Refund requests increased by 14.4%, after a decrease of almost 3% last year. Annual refund requests, which are more linked to the reduced rates at which smaller companies sell, increased by 17.0%, driven by cost growth, while monthly requests, more related to exports , grew by 13.7%, a rate that almost doubles the average increase observed in the 2017-2019 period.

VAT refunds grew by 6% in 2021, with advances of around 2% in both annual and monthly refunds and a strong rebound in refunds due to regional adjustments (45%, more than 1,100 above those paid in 2020). The increase in annual returns is due to the higher amount requested for the 2020 financial year, most of which was paid in 2021, to which was added a high realization rate (you have to go back to 2008 to find a higher realization rate ). For its part, in monthly returns, the increase is explained by the higher amount requested in fiscal year 2021, since the realization rate was around 6% lower than that registered in the previous five years, to which is added which also decreased the amount paid for those requested in 2020.